Re: The most dangerous product the IBM mainframe has ever seen

From: Robert Wagner (robert.deletethis_at_wagner.net)
Date: 06/04/04

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    scomstock@aol.com (S Comstock) wrote:

    > But what I found interesting is the implicit
    >recognition of the IBM mainframe as a major player even today. Most
    >competitors, at least publicly, denigrate the mainframe as not being a factor
    >in the industry any more. Now an open admission that mainframes are still a
    >significant part of the market. Somehow I find that encouraging.

    Don't confuse high profit with high market share.

    IBM still derives 70% of its Net Profit from mainframes. The profit now comes
    primarily from consulting services, support and software rather than hardware.
    IBM executives know that, but middle managers and sales people still think their
    objective is Pushing Iron. Even contracting managers. In a talk with one of them
    yesterday, she kept referring to contractors as "resources", meaning commodities
    disposed of as easily as a used Kleenex. They have no concept of team building
    or long-term strategy. They operate like a Body Shop, lurching from one
    short-term project to the next. (I should talk.) Their acquisition of
    Pricewaterhouse Coopers three years ago was intended by top management to change
    that attitude. It hasn't filtered down to the trenches.

    In a consumer economy where computer purchasing decisions are made by end-user
    middle managers attuned to Brand Loyalty, the IBM name continues to have some
    cachet. IBM is the Safe Choice .. for services as well as hardware. They'll hold
    the manager's hand and promise to not let him or her look stupid in exchange for
    a blank check.

    Can such an exploitive relationship survive in an 'efficient' marketplace? The
    short answer is yes. Human nature doesn't change. IBM's Watson tapped into it
    just as his mentor, NCR's Patterson, had. At the micro level, the marketplace is
    grossly INefficient. Sea changes, expressing real efficiency, come from top
    management. Industries enjoying 90-100% Gross Profit impose no pressure for
    change on top management. They are IBM itself, pharmaceuticals, financial
    services and government. Also, companies with no pressure due to a monopoly,
    such as utilities, some consumer products and vertical market domination.


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