Re: The Future

On 17 Apr, 17:10, "Oliver Wong" <o...@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
"Charles Hottel" <chot...@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message

Right now the unused cycles of computers attached to the internet is
probably more than enough for functional simulation.

Yes, but good luck trying to get all the computers attached to the
internet to cooperative towards a single goal.

The World Community Grid project does exactly that. I have my client
set up to investigate muscular dystrophy.


Around 2020 supercomputers will be powerful enough to do it and around
2025 a PC will have that much power. He predicts computers will start
passing the Turing test around 2030 and by around 2037 full simulation
of the neurons and their non-linearities will be possible.

I think he is well optimistic. I suspect that it will not be possible
to encode a way around conversational linguistics but that AI will
need to be a learning algorithm which effectively programs and
reprograms itself and that this would mean approximately 30 years of
learning in the same fashion that humans do.


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