Re: The neigh endless 64 bit debate

From: Jeff Overcash (TeamB) (jeffovercash_at_mindspring.com)
Date: 11/10/04 

Date: Tue, 09 Nov 2004 22:01:29 -0500

marc hoffman wrote:
>
> Larry,
>
> > What would be your realistic estimate of the number of Delphi developers
> > worldwide who need and would pay for a 64-bit Delphi version? My guess
> > would be < 1,000.
>
> let's say 500. times say 1000$ for a separate Win64 SKU. That's half a
> million bucks. Assuming that the standard Galileo IDE would be reused for
> this, half a million should be well enough to hire 3-4 guys for a year
> (that's what, 50k a pop if you don't pay em completely lousy) to work on
> compiler, debugger and whatever little would be needed to hook the two up
> with the now i hear very pluggable IDE. Both compiler and debugger should be
> doable in /way/ under a man year each, given the availability of the
> existing Win32 compiler and debugger, which certainly can be reused on some
> level.
>
> Leaves 300k-350k of plus, even if only 500 copies are ever sold. And suffice
> to say it should be bloody obvious that once this thing is out it will sell
> more then 500 copies, even if the /major/ run for 64bit wont happen until in
> 2 years.
>
> But then, what do i know about running a business...

Based on the above, very little. What about the VCL? Don't want a 64 bit VCL?
What about QA, documentation, database drivers, IDE designers etc. 50,000
potential users would not be enough IMO to even come close to being large enough
for Borland enter into the market, that's less than 1/2 what D1 sold in units.
Much less your 500. All I can say is I'm glad you aren't running Borland as
that would be suicide if such major decisions were made with as little thought
as you seem to have put into this. 

-- 
Jeff Overcash (TeamB) 
      (Please do not email me directly unless  asked. Thank You) 
A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion, butcher
a hog, conn a ship, design a building, write a sonnet, balance accounts, build
a wall, set a bone, comfort the dying, take orders, give orders, cooperate, act
alone, solve equations, analyze a new problem, pitch manure, program a computer,
cook a tasty meal, fight efficiently, die gallantly.  Specialization is for
insects.   (RAH)

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