Re: Why 64bit Delphi compiler from Borland may be meaningless!

From: Wayne Niddery [TeamB] (wniddery_at_chaffaci.on.ca)
Date: 01/27/05 

Date: Thu, 27 Jan 2005 11:07:00 -0500

Will DeWitt Jr. wrote:
>
> Businesses invest in PC's because they believe (rightly) that they
> /can/ increase productivity.

Absolutely.

> Native 64-bit applications also boost
> productivity.

Somewhat, of course, but not nearly as much as the *features* various
software provide.

Ask a user if he'd prefer to do the same 10 steps he's been doing but see
the computer complete each 50% faster, or whether he'd like a new feature
that reduced those 10 steps to just 2 and, while the computer would still
take as long to do the whole process internally as before, it has saved 80%
of *his* time at the keyboard.

Now it depends on the time involved of course, if the speed improvement
reduces a process from 3 *hours* to just 2 rather than 3 *minutes* to just
2, 64 bit becomes more attractive. But most interactive business processes
are measured in seconds and minutes, not hours, and processes that involve
hours are typically done in off-business hours and would continue to be even
with faster processors.

I predict that:

1) Most business software will not be converted to 64 bit *ever*, but rather
64 bit will happen at some future point when it is decided that software
needs a complete overhaul or rewrite *anyway* for other reasons besides just
bitness.
2) Even the percentage that do see conversion before then will still only
happen in conjunction with other significant improvements to the product,
very little will be converted with 64 bit being a *primary* motivation.
3) A very significant proportion of rewrites that do happen will be to .Net. 

-- 
Wayne Niddery - Logic Fundamentals, Inc. (www.logicfundamentals.com)
RADBooks: http://www.logicfundamentals.com/RADBooks.html
In a tornado, even turkeys can fly. - unknown

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