Re: Delphi job market - observation
- From: "John Jacobson aka Captain Jake" <jake@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Thu, 21 Jul 2005 22:05:15 -0500
Serge Dosyukov <"serge [AT] dragonsoftru [DoT] com"> wrote in message
<42dfeae8$1@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> - no posibility to maintain application - very small market for
> professionals in US (you can find many willing to come here, but not
> currently available here)
Ah, the fallacy of the unused market, a very common economic fallacy. It
isn't the size of the market that determines one's welfare in selling/buying
in that market, it is the relationship of supply to demand. ( see my blog at
http://blogs.slcdug.org/jjacobson/archive/2005/02/07/FallacyUnusedMarket.aspx
).
> - marketing push - people seems to be more convince in MS way of doing
> things
Nothing new. This has always been true. I remember when the big contest was
between Borland C++ and Microsoft C++. There was once a time when Borland C++
was the most used development system in the world, then over time, MSFT won
the marketing game, part through the commonly held belief that their
development tools would always have an advantage over Borland's because MSFT
wrote the operating system. Businesses love to bet on MSFT against everyone
else because they idolize Bill Gates and want to hitch their wagon to a
"winner" like him.
Borland has survived for years and years despite this strong bias in favor of
MSFT, and through most of those years they did not have the hundreds of
millions of dollars in the bank they now have either.
> - cost - for some reasons it is appear that it is smaller cost to do thing
> in C# than it is in Delphi - this is a big surprise for me <8^)
This might be true for a lot of firms. Not because C# is a better language
than Delphi, but because you can find C# programmers cheaply who will work
for a pittance. The firm's business requirements might be simple enough that
they can staff their projects with beginners and mid-range programmers who
are eager to get more real-world experience in C#, whereas if they do it in
Delphi they face reduced supply at the entry and mid-range level because
these programmers tend to follow the herd in an attempt to further their own
careers.
> - increasing demand on some markets for SMART and POCKET devices - hey, who
> do not want to walk around warehouse with PDA ;O)
I bet this is a field that Borland thought it had covered with Java and C++.
Of course, now their Java tool has been Eclipsed, and their C++ tool is
awaiting resuscitation in DeXter. But this non-coverage is probably just a
temporary thing. All signs point toward Borland starting to do something
about this.
>
> You will say that it is all known for years, but it looks link there is some
> movements in a water here which are not yet clear
Personally, I don't see anything particularly ominous stirring. Just as
developers are fickle enough to completely abandon the leading C++ tool in a
matter of a few short years, like they did with BC++, so too they are fickle
enough to return en masse to something else that Borland might offer. It all
depends on what the next CEO decides to do, because as we have seen from
Phillipe Kahn, Pizzaman and Dale, the strategies pursued by the guy at the
top can make all the difference in the world, in both getting good products
out the door and in attracting and keeping top talent.
If I thought there was a God I'd pray to Him to stick Philippe Kahn back in
the CEO slot at Borland, and then lure Anders Helsjberg back. That would be a
dream team. Corporate America would notice that, and the tech press would
hail it as a real coup.
But regardless of that I think things could be looking very good for Delphi
for the next few years, for several reasons: 1) the BDS is looking to be a
very good rival for VS once all the kinks are ironed out and the refactoring
gets bumped up. Hell, I like using D2005 more than D7 now, and this is the
first version of the BDS I actually had a chance to use (since I do Win32
programming). 2) JBuilder is no longer the top money maker, meaning Delphi
is Borland's prize bull once again. We should expect therefore that more
attention will be paid to Delphi than in the past several years. If Delphi
can then progress at the rate JBuilder progressed, we should see it easily
pose a formidable challenge to MSFT hegemony in the Windows development world
in a few short years. 3) Delphi is absorbing other languages at Borland,
like C# and C++, which greatly expands its appeal and likely appeal in the
future. In the past, Borland had concentrated its multi-operating-system
strategies in C++ and Java, but now it looks like Delphi would be the ideal
vehicle for those strategies (especially with C++ coming on board).
--
Everything in this post is mere opinion.
It might be very well formed opinion based
on an uncanny grasp of the facts, but it
remains opinion nevertheless.
Here's where you'll find Absolute Truth:
http://blogs.slcdug.org/jjacobson/
Posted with Reader3000-BETA 0.9.4.1007
.
- Follow-Ups:
- Re: Delphi job market - observation
- From: Richard Grossman
- Re: Delphi job market - observation
- From: Serge Dosyukov
- Re: Delphi job market - observation
- From: Angra Mainyu
- Re: Delphi job market - observation
- References:
- Delphi job market - observation
- From: Serge Dosyukov
- Delphi job market - observation
- Prev by Date: Re: Delphi job market - observation
- Next by Date: Re: Delphi 2005 Update 4 IS needed !!!
- Previous by thread: Re: Delphi job market - observation
- Next by thread: Re: Delphi job market - observation
- Index(es):
Relevant Pages
|
