Re: What I Think Delphi Needs to Do to Survive
- From: "Lauchlan M" <LMackinnonAT_NoSpam_ozemailDOTcomDOTau>
- Date: Sat, 11 Mar 2006 11:53:00 +1100
Actually, my track record on these types of things has been pretty
good. For example, I predicted that Aristocrat would kill TurboPower.
I predicted that Chrome would not be a big commercial success or
challenge Delphi in any way in the market.
I missed the whole TurboPower death (except noticing when it happened).
But as far as Chrome, I don't think you needed to be a genius to know
the future there. Chrome is always going to be a niche product. I
always felt that trying to divorce the ObjectPascal language from all
things Delphi (VCL, the IDE, etc) was a losing proposition. A language
is just a language, and there's no real language-based reason to pick
ObjectPascal over C# or VB.NET. RemObjects doesn't seem to understand
that. (not that they haven't done a few nice things to the language -
but not enough to actually cause people to move to their tool).
Hmm. With respect to Jake's comments, I'd say 'over what timeframe'? It's
conceiveable (although I don't think it's likely) that after Delphi is sold,
it gets sold again, and discontinued. Maybe afterwards, Delphi developers go
to VS.NET, and choose Chrome with it, and Jakes predictionbecomes clearly
falsified. Who knows? Anyway, my point is that you can't evaluate
predictions like this until something happens to clearly establish final
outcomes (e.g. RO or Delphi being discontinued) and that hasn't happened and
hopefully won't happen.
With respect to your comments, of course Chrome is going to be a niche
product. There is no conceivable way they are going to put MS out of
business, for example, as they provide essentially an add-in for VS.NET.
Therefore by definition they occupy a niche. But maybe it's a good niche to
have? Who knows, it depends on their business case, revenue and costs.
Lauchlan M
.
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