Re: What I Think Delphi Needs to Do to Survive

i.e. it reinforces my original point - that the current timeframe is not
long enough to realistically assess your proposition.

I guess that depends on how much certainty you require.

No it doesn't - it means you just can't evaluate it properly yet. It is not
a question of degree of certainty.

I'm a proponent of
Karl Popper's theory of knowledge,

In may respects, so am I. Except I strongly dislike his insistence on
treating knowledge propositionally (a statement is either true or false, and
knowledge is true statements, or at least its equivalent in terms of
versimillitude).

so I don't think absolute certainty is
possible

I expect 98% of contemporary philosophers would agree with that. Certainly I
wouldn't imagine any philosophers/historians of science disagreeing with it.

except when a positive statement has been definitively disproven.

Even then the positive statement is open to interpretation, and the
underlying 'gestalt' or 'paradigm' - the underlying set of mental constructs
through which the world is interpreted - shift, in which case the positive
statment and its meaning may be reconstructed, and may be evaluated socially
as 'true' in the new context and with new evidence.

Lauchlan M

Lauchlan M


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