Re: Outsourcing to India and China
From: Roedy Green (roedy_at_seewebsite.com)
Date: 10/17/03
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Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 19:56:29 GMT
On Fri, 17 Oct 2003 15:31:22 GMT, David Segall
<DavidSegall@nowhere.net> wrote or quoted :
>"It's OK to lose the low end of the market because they
>can never compete with our most technically advanced products".
And look at where the North American auto market has done to itself
now. It has all but abandoned the passenger car to focus on trucks
and SUVs. SUVs are a guaranteed dead end market.
On the bright side, I saw GM's first commercial for a hydrogen powered
vehicle. In it, a bird drinks a drop of water from the tailpipe.
They might be first sold as impractical status symbols, but that could
get the innovation ball rolling again.
Once you have seen life in the third world first hand, it comes clear
there is no law of the universe absolutely preventing those condition
from happening back home. Our position of privilege is not
automatically guaranteed. There is no floor on just how bad things
can get.
The migration of service and computer jobs out of the US should come
as no surprise after the collapse of the home manufacturing sector.
Intelligent life evolves to survive unusually tough environments. How
could you prosper in such a climate?
There should be new jobs of the following forms:
1. helping with translation of technical materials. Even big
companies like Asus put out some pretty strange English.
Part of the task is selling these companies on the notion that
flawless English matters. So far all my emails have been ignored.
2. acting as front man for foreign programming teams. You get the
contracts, deal with the customer, handle installation, support.
I know a guy, an immigrant from India, who was doing this back in the
80s and made himself a bundle.
3. market research to figure out what programs could sell, then
speculatively invest it having them written by foreign teams.
4. Develop tools for co-ordinating teams spread over the planet.
See http://mindprod.com/scid.html
http://mindprod.com/projdynamicversioncontrol.html
5. Go after custom programming jobs for a certain market sector using
a cookie cutter approach to stitch them together. The customer does
not have to do any configuring. They come custom tailored. You go
after tiny customers no one else is currently bothering with. You
figure out how to put everything on a production line to make it super
efficient, and use low cost foreign labour. You create the McDonald's
of custom computer software.
On the other hand, environmentalist David Suzuki pointed out that a
country like Canada could be self sufficient with hardly any importing
if it wanted to. We may move in that direction for environmental,
security or nationalistic motives. It would be kind of crazy to live
in squalor because you failed at the world trade game, when you could
perfectly well be self-sufficient by backing off.
The catch is, the multinational corporations are in control in the
USA. They control the media, the elections, the FCC, the politicians.
These corporations like things the way they are headed. Brazil is
their utopia -- a few rich with everyone else in poverty.
-- Canadian Mind Products, Roedy Green. Coaching, problem solving, economical contract programming. See http://mindprod.com/jgloss/jgloss.html for The Java Glossary.
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