Re: Economic and politics (Was: Comparing Lisp conditions to Java Exceptions)
- From: Ulrich Hobelmann <u.hobelmann@xxxxxx>
- Date: Sat, 07 May 2005 17:16:42 -0500
Sorry, long.
Robert Marlow wrote:
On Fri, 06 May 2005 23:35:56 -0700, Don Geddis wrote:
You're confusing the price of a manufactured product (which we were talking about), with the hourly wage given to a laborer (which is another interesting issue where your theory breaks).
No I'm not. I'm simply recognising that the only way to add value to something is with labour and consequently the value of any good or service is equivalent to the amount of labour put into it.
One is cost. What you sell it for is price (which is driven by demand, as Don argues, and shouldn't be artificially fixed). The difference (that you want to abolish, it seems) is profit. That's the reason why people produce something in the first place, or why they invest capital in developing tools to produce something better or faster.
[...]Price-of-labour is the value of one hour of an average worker's labour and is a constant. Since most people would be concerned about individual
Just like prices of goods *will* be demand-driven (by the people demanding them; if society doesn't allow this, a black market will appear), prices of labor will be demand-driven as well. I don't see any reason to do anything about this.
Investments such as R&D need popular support before they're taken on. Such an investment would need to be proposed with projected budgets etc by an interested group of individuals who see the need, just as a group of individuals seeking a grant might do now. Then everyone who would have
It can be a group of individuals funding a not-for-profit research endeavor, or a company doing it for profit (R&D). If a company invents the wheel, soon after that others will follow. Patents would only hurt here. See how competitors followed Henry Ford in producing cars (to the good of everyone), just because they were allowed to (no patents on cars, I don't know about parts...).
a hand in paying for it has the option to vote for or against this investment according to how needed they consider it to be. Should an investment get the go ahead, R&D labour and production materials are paid according to the requirements of the investment just as any other production is. The source of this labour would come from banks similar to what we have now but would differ in that they would not participate in any form of interest.
Those who want to pay, pay. If its a company, the results belong to the group of investors, and know-how could be delivered to paying clients, as consulting. Thus, the investment cost is later spread out among users of the research.
But you admit that a manufactured item should cost less if it takes less hours to make? Even if the difference is that a skilled master can make it faster than a new trainee?
Not quite. I said that an item should be valued according to average hours it takes to produce the item multiplied by the cost of labour per hour and
What is the cost of labor per hour? Isn't this cost only determined *after* you see how productive a worker is? Certainly in a market this would be the case.
added to any other costs gone into making the item. Who actually makes the item doesn't affect the cost. If skilled masters produce quicker then it's they who are rewarded for their effort, not the consumer.
The producing company would probably choose workers, so that their salary doesn't affect the cost, yes. For certain tasks, however, (coding) one good developer should be preferred to two twice-as-bad ones, as mistakes are usually expensive, and as design from one mind is (usually) better than committee design.
The company would reward good workers by paying them more, so that they don't run away. This actually happens in our world, because companies don't want everybody to leave just because they are cheapskates with salaries.
I sketched over details so I can see how it looks like I'm being inconsistent, but there's several alternatives to the system I propose, and in my view I see them all capable of coexisting and cooperating with eachother. Essentially, the market I mentioned is the "Black Market" mentioned by you and other people. Only it's not something illegal so "Black Market" is a useless term. Such a marke t would be people who aren't really interested in the particular layout I have in mind and would rather continue to use a market. And as I've said, there's no reason to stop them so long as they don't participate in capitalist methods of extortion like interest or rent.
Harhar. You want to forbid me to lend my super-tool to your worker, so that he could be much more productive? The same if I lend him money for buying a supertool?
I'd certainly want to have the possibility to take a credit to pay for grad school if I want to, or to buy some cool Lisp implementation. Other people might too, because they want be able to invest in their future.
there it is:I never suggested anything about demand having anything to do with labour hours put into production. What I said was markets that don't have huge gaps between rich or poor (attainable, according to its advocates, by simply abolishing interest and rent while leaving the market to work everything else out) are less likely to result in excessively rich people
who go about denying poor people of access to scarce resources by out-purchasing them. In other respects, the scarcity principle in this particular alternative (not the one I have been mostly advocating, but not one I oppose) would be solved in the same way any other market solves it - by prices.
But weren't you just saying that rich people shouldn't outbuy the poor? That's what happens with prices, according to your theory.
In my theory:
If rich people start to buy all those iPods that students would like to have, too, then production will expand and become cheaper. That's because profit gives producers an incentive to produce more.
Abolishing interest (which is a natural consequence of getting something back for lending your money instead of buying a Ferrari with it) only quenches investment and reduces economic growth.
You can't build an economy on consumption alone. Investment is important.
The other is a scarcity index. Each production site simply maintains an index of their supply relative to demand. When a consumer notices one of it's suppliers scarcity index drop indicating less supply (eg unexpected drop in natural resources) or increased demand, it simply takes that into account in its orders. It can check with the supplier to get an idea of whether the change is likely to be temporary or long term and determine if it can get by on reserved stock or it needs to investigate the feasibility of alternative supplies.
The problem you're not fixing, is the one when a supplier simply chooses not to make any more items. People want a lot more, but nobody has an incentive to make one.
How's that worse than an item getting taken off the market in the current system for the same reasons? It's not a problem unique to any system; it doesn't matter what system you use, if people aren't producing an item then nobody's going to be able to consume it.
If nobody buys it, the product *should* be taken off market, as its production costs are bigger than what people are willing to pay. If it is profitable, production will continue. If people *want* to have the product, they should be willing to pay more, so that production *is* profitable.
If people want an item that's not produced, then someone will found a company, or invest money in it, because there is a profit to make. Sooner or later this opportunity will be discovered. You might even suggest it to investors, or do it yourself, to accelerate this.
Or if what you mean is not that nobody is making any of the items, but that less people are making the items then the solution to that's no different to the ones I've already described. It basically would require rationing. The market's no different, by raising prices to lower demand it's just rationing in a manner that favours people who are wealthy enough to afford the new prices. Personally, I consider such discrimination against the underprivileged to be one of the bad qualities of a market.
No, if I can sell all 100 supertools I made at a good profit margin, I'll produce more. Competitors will appear and try to make some profit too. Supply rises up to demand. Prices (and margins) shrink due to competition. Take the PC industry: dirt cheap, almost no profit margins left. Overproduction means that HP and others might consider leaving the business to Dell.
It is as you say like the Intel CPU problem; it's a problem of investment. And it's solved the same way. The society may choose to sponsor peoples' education in the same way other forms of investment are considered. So someone wishing to be a MD simply needs to request entry into education as a MD and fulfill whatever prerequisites are required for that entry.
But as MDs are rarer than burger flippers, and because their job involves life and death, they are paid more. So everybody wants to get on MD (in Germany '99, the chancellor cried "we need more CS people, and it pays well"; suddenly *everybody* started studying it). Who pays for all those students getting an education? Half of them probably suck and quit halfway through their degree.
Scholarships work better: good students that want an MD get some money from those people who care (the ones you mention above). Everyone else has to pay themselves; decide if they want to make the investment (take a credit; save for it; whatever).
I don't think an average MD should earn any different rate than an average burger flipper. In my society investment costs of education are absorbed by the system so it's not like a qualified MD has any claim that they should be repayed for their investment in education. In the end, an MD is still putting hours of labour in like a burger flipper is. They should be rewarded according to their productivity in their task, not according to their societal rank.
Then people will flip burgers, as it doesn't involve studying hard stuff for years and years, but pays immediately. You won't have any doctors (well, some few). There are different salaries for a reason! This isn't societal rank, but Return On Investment. If you invest more, you might gain more.
Some people study a lot, some students don't care. Your choice how much you invest, what lifestyle you lead, if pop music, booze, and girls are your priority at 16, or if you choose to be the best in your field, or want to discover how the world works.
It's ridiculous if people consciously choose one lifestyle and later come begging because they suck and need money or a job.
Your life is a business: you have limited time and money, and you do with those scarce resources how you choose to do.
I think one of the beauties of this is that it gets rid of a lot of crap MDs. Crap MDs are almost always MDs who are soley in it for the money.
If you are a crap MD (yes, I hate them) then you won't last, I hope. That's what good institutions are for. If someone sucks, they deserve to fail their studies, no matter how much fees they pay. In their own interest, other MDs will usually discover the sucker quickly. After all it hurts *their* business and their reputation.
The best MDs are almost always the ones who are MDs primarily because they find it personally fulfilling. Not only does the financial incentive to become a MD result in crap MDs, but it also means people who would otherwise make excellent MDs are denied the opportunity because the money chasers lower supply of MD education opportunities. The same goes for any profession.
Those who find it fulfilling will end up the best. Not the other way. A bad MD will have trouble finding customers, I'm sure. How often and how long do people keep buying at "the crappy-used-car dealer in town"?
I'm crying for higher standards in CS education, because coders that suck hurt my reputation. The "diploma" becomes inflationary, it loses value, just like the originally good Gymnasium (high school) degree isn't worth anything anymore, because most people get it, even if they are totally unable to study at a university.
Russia had lines of toilet paper, groceries etc because people were rewarded according to rank rather than productivity so there was less incentive for individual productivity. Also, supply was decided centrally by a government. Of course that's going to result in misallocation of resources. It's the producers themselves who need to figure out how to meet demand, not some egotistic government.
True, I can see the difference btw. Commie Russia and your system. But the above flaws remain.
In my system, there's no "enforcing" of rules. Black markets would just be ordinary markets of people attempting their own version of my system. There'd be no political powers to get favours from. Under the table illegal payments is an interesting one I hadn't thought of and I'd myself be interested to see how the people of my society figure a solution.
People would flock to the black, legal, market, and abandon your system I suppose, mainly because the market offers more incentives for people who want to deliver.
But look, you mentioned 3 problems in capitalism resulting from scarcity, yet my system only potentially suffers from 1 of them. Who's got the bigger problem with scarcity?
Your system, see above.
Consensus probably wouldn't be the best tool for something as controversial and necessary a decision as rationing. I'd say simple democracy would work better for something like this. It'd only be needed in the very worst case scenarios anyway, and it's pretty clear by looking at scarcity now that problems of scarcity need not get so bad as to need that kind of systematic rationing very often.
But why force people into rationing with democracy (tyranny of the majority), when a free market expands production until demand can be met?
1000 people want toilet paper. The guy who makes it only wants to make 500 rolls (at the "agreed on" price). Nobody else wants to start making it (for that price). Yet there's an continual imbalance.
What you're arguing only makes sense in a restricted market where someone's fixed prices too low. But I'm not talking about a market remember? If a guy's hired to make toilet paper at a 1000+ roll quota as determined by average toilet paper productivity, he's not going to get paid his full "agreed on price". And what exactly is this about the price being "agreed on"? Labour price is simply a static value given to average productivity in my system. It doesn't even matter what that value is since it's the same for everyone and is the only value which affects prices. There's nothing to agree on.
But why would he produce more TP if he doesn't make a profit? If he only gets money for labor he puts in? I guess in that system I would be a productive (fast-working) burger flipper, because that's the easiest to do and would pay well. Nobody would build that TP factory.
Lastly, I've already explained how scarcity is solved in my system. Why do you think your example is any different to any other kind of scarcity? If there's a scarcity of toilet papers, consumers need to adjust their consumption habits or find an alternative from say the facial tissue industry. Since the problem is that only one guy wants to make toilet paper, then perhaps investment into researching how to increase toilet paper production through machinery needs to be discussed or researching how to decrease the unpleasantness of the task of creating toilet paper so more people are willing to do the job.
You suggest people buy facial tissue instead of TP? Come on! A free market gives you just as much TP as you need. No need to upset consumers.
If people want to cooperate in TP production, as you suggest above, they can do that in a free market too. They can found a company (and share the shares), or finance a non-profit TP producer, with all the risk of a company and no profit in it for them. Go ahead ;)
There's no need for a state to enforce the rules. All it needs is a bunch of people willing to work together to make it happen. In my system if other people want their market economy then they can have it so long as they're not exploiting labour through interest or rent or participating in other forms of coercion.
The other way round: In a market economy, you can have your system; it already exists. People can cooperate as much as they want. Non-profits are even tax-exempt in some (most?) countries (well, if there are no profits anyway, taxes would be pointless :D).
There's nothing unnatural about a bunch of people getting together and agreeing to cooperate in a certain way.
No, it is even encouraged. Capitalism is not against people fighting for their food. It's about intelligent, profitable cooperation. Usually they only cooperate, if that is worth it for all involved parties.
Organizations are stronger than individual people.
Black markets don't fix scarcity problems in capitalist societies. Prices rise so that demand drops to the level of what can be supplied in the short term. That's how capitalist allocation comes back into balance.
Oh? So why are there black markets in capitalist societies if not to fulfill demand by supplying goods and services that would otherwise be scarce?
In a truly free system you wouldn't need a black market. We have black markets because of *price-fixing* and contract constraints. High minimum wages (well, this one's subjective) and regulations (like in Germany) make people do under-the-counter deals, like asking the plumber to fix your sink for $50 cash, instead of doing all the paperwork and paying taxes, health insurance etc. It happens because both parties profit from it. The government is angry, because it's absolute power isn't acknowledged, and because nobody pays them for their useless non-work (bureaucracy).
You also forgot to mention problems of unemployment, labour exploitation, and irrational inequalities of wealth and power to name a few.
It's a matter of great debate whether those are even problems to be fixed.
It's far from obvious that anything needs to be changed on those topics.
I'm tempted to see how on earth you could possibly debate that they aren't problems. But if you're that blind to your own system's problems that's obviously going to be too long, tiring and fruitless a tangent.
We don't have a free market, so it's hard to say, how much unemployment there would be. Currently there's way too much governmental involvement in the economy, so markets aren't really balanced. How can you compete against a government?
It doesn't matter how they get wealthy, what matters is that it's only wealthy people and people sponsored by wealthy people who rule the US and most countries who ruled by representatives. And that *is* how US elections work. So what if many people who attempt to buy their way into office don't make it? What matters is that all the ones who get into office are the few remaining people who attempted to buy their way into office.
Hmmm. Don't know. I generally don't trust others who want to make decisions for me, and force me to abide by them. If some law is paid for, instead of the will of the mob or majority that only makes it slightly worse.
(Most Germans who vote read BILD, the more-than-stupid magazine (not even newspaper; I've heard that they aren't allowed to call themselves that anymore :D). I don't expect them to remotely understand the issues, as they don't really spend time thinking about them. Generally, I have trouble to be ruled by people less smart than I am; for that reason I refused military service.)
You're getting confused about a representative democracy vs. a "full" democracy. That isn't the issue. "Tyranny of the majority" isn't a concern that a small group will somehow take power and screw the average guy.
Who said that's what tyranny of the majority was? That wasn't my point. My point was a simple statistical proof that minority rule leads to tyranny more often worse than majority rule. As such full democracy is superior in preventing tyranny than any form of rule by minority and "Tyranny of the majority" is the least evil.
A majority is less harmful than bought laws, yes. But I don't like it nonetheless.
A citizen-democracy that would vote not on party-packages, but on *individual issues* would be MUCH better than the status quo, as it would be very decentralized.
What, you think it's EASIER to convince 51% of the total population to do something evil than it is to convince a small group of people much smaller than 51% of the total population?
No, of course if the *population* would ever vote on individual laws, we'd be much better off. Say, every two months we could vote on all laws that were to be passed.
I don't like the majority, but it would be better than having 300 bribed policitians decide what they think is the will of the people.
--
No man is good enough to govern another man without that other's consent. -- Abraham Lincoln
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